Calgary, June 1, 2012 May 2012 residential sales in the City of Calgary increased by 31.8 per cent over last year, to 2,385, making it the highest May activity since the recession.
In the past month, easing concerns regarding Calgarys long- term economic prospects combined with continued full-time job growth and low interest rates, has contributed to the rise in housing demand, pushing sales to levels more consistent with long term trends, says Ann-Marie Lurie, CREB®s chief economist. However, we are not out of the woods in terms or economic risks, as recent indicators point towards weak growth in the U.S. economy and increased uncertainty in global markets.
Demand growth continues to outpace supply in the single-family market. Monthly sales reached 1,710 units in May, resulting in year-to-date sales 19.1 per cent higher than the same period last year. While new listings recorded a year-over-year increase of 6.7 per cent, this did little to alleviate the supply constraint in the single-family market. Inventories totaled 3,842 in May, keeping months of supply in seller territory, with less than 2.5 months of supply.
With less supply in the single-family market, buyers are making their decisions quicker, says Becky Walters, CREB®s president-elect. As a result, weve seen a reduction in the amount of time homes stay on the market, and sellers are getting figures closer to their list price.
The single-family benchmark price for the month of May 2012 was $427,500, a 6.7-per-cent increase over the previous year. Prices were expected to record modest gains this year and, while the increase is higher than expected, the single-family benchmark price remains 5.3-per-cent below the peak price of $451,400, reached in July 2007.
Buyers are also turning to surrounding areas and the condominium markets, both of which have adequate supply levels and price growth that remain below single-family levels, Walters says.
After the first five months of the year, condominium-apartment sales totaled 1,518, an 8.7-per-cent increase over the same period last year. New listings for the month rose by 5.4 per cent compared to last year, but on a year-to-date basis, they remain at comparable levels. As the number of sales outpaced new listings, total inventory levels of apartment condominiums have retracted by 3 per cent over May 2011, and with three months of supply, firmly moved into balanced territory.
The condominium-apartment market recorded a modest improvement in pricing, with a benchmark price of $245,400 in May 2012, a year-over-year price gain of one per cent. Meanwhile, condominium-townhome benchmark prices appreciated by 3 per cent over last year for a monthly price of $277,000.
While there have been some conflicting opinions on the national housing market, particularly with price expectations, the Calgary housing market does not appear to reflect either a boom or a bust scenario, and is simply returning to activity levels consistent with a normal market, says Lurie. The current low supply in the single-family market has pushed up pricing slightly higher than anticipated. However, sufficient supply in the remaining housing industry combined with economic uncertainty will likely prevent a repeat of the price jumps recorded in the not-so-distant past.
CREB® is a professional body of more than 5,100 licensed brokers and registered associates, representing 238 member offices. CREB® is dedicated to enhancing the value, integrity and expertise of its REALTOR® members. Our REALTORS® are committed to a high standard of professional conduct, ongoing education, and a strict Code of Ethics and standards of business practice.
For Calgary Metro, CREB® statistics include only Zone A, B, C and D for properties located in Calgary. Furthermore, all historical data has been adjusted to the most current information.
Any use or reference to CREB® data and statistics must acknowledge CREB® as the source. The board does not generate statistics or analysis of any individual member or companys market share.
Average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods, or account for price differentials between geographical areas. All MLS® active listings for Calgary and area may be found on the boards website at www.creb.com.
CREB® is a registered trademark of the Calgary Real Estate Board Cooperative. The trademarks MLS® and Multiple Listing Service® are owned by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. The trademarks REALTOR® and REALTORS® are controlled by CREA and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA, and subsequently the Alberta Real Estate Association and CREB®, used under licence.